How the Turner twins are mythbusting modern technical apparel

(carryology.com)

113 points | by greedo 2 days ago

13 comments

  • pinkmuffinere 3 hours ago
    > During their simulation of Mallory’s Everest expedition, the data showed that on summit night, the average body temperature difference between the twin in modern down and the twin in complicated layers of silk, wool, and gabardine was a staggering 1.8°C.

    The human body self-regulates, and is pretty sensitive to dramatic temperature swings. So, conditioned on the fact that they both survived the adventure, we should expect their temperature differences to be relatively small. This doesn't mean the clothing is great, it means [their body] + [their clothing] is adequate.

    Additionally, I'm not a doctor but 1.8 C is not small compared to normal human variation! Normal body temperature ranges between 36 and 37 C, a "high fever" starts around 39 C [0], and hypothermia is anything below 35 C [1]. The comfortable range of human temperature is 1 deg C, and the "outside of this is concerning" range is only 4 C wide. 1.8 C is quite big from that perspective.

    [0] https://www.health.harvard.edu/diseases-and-conditions/treat...

    [1] https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/hypothermia/s...

    • hn_throwaway_99 2 hours ago
      I didn't see more details in the article, but my guess is they were taking and averaging multiple temperature reads across the body. That is, core temp should only be within a narrow range like you say, but fingertip temp will vary much more widely.

      All in all I found this to be a very strange article. If you just look at the data, I think a reasonable conclusion is that modern gear is vastly better at its function than old time Mallory gear. It's much lighter and keeps the wearer much warmer than old gear. But the whole tone of the article is about "myth busting" and how there haven't been really that many improvements in gear. I'm just looking at their charts and data and wondering what they're smoking.

    • ginko 2 hours ago
      Not to be a stickler (ok I like being a stickler) but temperature delta, especially deltas between degrees celsius, should be given in kelvin. A 1.8K difference makes sense. A 1.8C difference would be 274.8 kelvin!
      • hexer292 1 hour ago
        This is probably the most ridiculous comment I've read in the history of this website.

        There is no difference in the amount of energy 1 degree Celsius delta and 1 degree Kelvin delta represents.

        The only (and I really mean only) difference is how zero energy is defined. It is not possible to have negative energy, and that zero Celsius represents the freezing point of water is an artifact of convenience, not of absolute definition.

        • hexer292 1 hour ago
          Also, the way Kelvin is defined necessitates that both degrees are identical. If 10 degrees Celcius defined the boiling point of water at 1 atmosphere (or whatever the actual definition is) then Kelvin would be smaller by a factor of 10. And this applies to both negative and positive K values.
      • atombender 1 hour ago
        Celsius is not an absolute scale, but that isn't a problem for deltas: (10C - 5C)=5C, (10K-5K)=5K. Celsius is only problematic when multiplying or dividing. 10C is not twice as hot as 5C.
      • altairprime 1 hour ago
        "A 1.8C difference" expands as "A difference of 1.8C" expands as, and here's the ambiguity, either:

        "An absolute difference of 1.8C, or 274.8K, measured between A and B"

        or

        "A relative difference of 1.8C, or 1.8K, is added/subtracted to A/B in order to reach B/A"

        I don't think the context-free variant with K will improve understanding and decrease confusability in this discussion context, but I appreciate the pointer about it in general. I'll take a lot more care around it in a future thread about space apparel!

      • hn_throwaway_99 2 hours ago
        That makes no sense. A difference between a read of 37C and 38.8C is still 1.8C.
        • ginko 1 hour ago
          Degrees celsius are a relative scale. You can’t use them for absolute temperature deltas.

          The difference between 37C=310k and 38.8C=311.8K is 1.8K.

          • hn_throwaway_99 13 minutes ago
            Dude, you are just completely making shit up, and it makes no sense.

            So what if Celsius and Kelvin have different 0 points - they are still valid scales and you can talk about differences between 2 measurements.

            According to your logic it would be impossible to state that two Fahrenheit measurements differ by some number of degrees F - why, I have no idea.

          • dekhn 1 hour ago
            I'm not entirely sure what point you are trying to make, but this is absolutely false from a scientific perspective.

            If you believe otherwise, please provide some citations to your beliefs so we can understand what you are trying to say.

            • hexer292 1 hour ago
              Saying something is false and then asking for citations doesn't seem that helpful to me.

              To support your argument, take the following example:

              Lets take some water at 273.15 Kelvin and add 1 Kelvin of energy to it. The water is now at 274.15 Kelvin. The difference is of 1 Kelvin.

              If we had the same amount of water at 0 degrees Celsius and added 1 Celsius of energy, the water would now be at 1 Celcius.

              Converting these values leave us with 273.15 Kelvin and 274.15 Kelvin respectively.

              You can repeat this experiment (ignoring latent heat) for any value of Kelvin or Celsius, therefore Kevlin and Celsius are interchangeable in reference to temperature comparasion.

              • dekhn 1 hour ago
                I believe any chemistry or physics textbook will state (possibly indirectly) how temperature deltas work.

                But I think it's sufficient to just say that Kelvin and Celsius have the same scale magnitude and just a constant offset.

      • alistairSH 1 hour ago
        Kelvin and Celsius use the same unit magnitudes. It would be a 1.8* difference either way.
      • hightrix 2 hours ago
        To be a stickler, communication requires respect for your audience. The vast majority of everyone understands a 1.8 degree C delta. I would argue that very few people anywhere would understand a temperature delta given in kelvin.
        • ginko 1 hour ago
          How is expecting readers to not understand what a kelvin is respecting the audience?
          • hexer292 1 hour ago
            The same way expecting you understand what a Kelvin is isn't respectful to you.
  • jldugger 4 hours ago
    > the data showed that on summit night, the average body temperature difference between the twin in modern down and the twin in complicated layers of silk, wool, and gabardine was a staggering 1.8°C. > “In a hundred years, you’ve gained—arguably—one degree of efficiency per 50 years,” Ross reveals.

    Depending on where the baseline is, 1.8 degrees could be huge! But more importantly, heat dissapation is a non-linear function. The warmer you are relative to your environment, the more energy is lost. While Shackleton's kit forms a lower baseline, it probably makes sense to imagine how some imaginary perfect vacuum insulated sleeping bag would perform.

    • Aurornis 3 hours ago
      Is that really core body temperature?

      Normal core body temperature is around 37C.

      Hypothermia starts around 35C, only 2C less.

      If they're actually measuring body temperature (using that swallowed pill they mention?) then 1.8C is a huge difference.

      This whole article does feel like they started with a conclusion and they were going to report that conclusion regardless of what they measured or experienced. Content that claims to debunk things is hot right now.

      • systemsweird 3 hours ago
        Also the body will increase metabolic rate in the cold to maintain body temperate which is an externality they aren’t measuring. The user of the worse clothing is very likely burning more calories and still not as warm. This would mean increased fatigue and greater food weight on expeditions.
        • throwaway173738 3 minutes ago
          Or they can move faster or carry more weight. You can warm yourself by moving or by metabolism.
    • margalabargala 3 hours ago
      This whole article is kind of a straw man anyway.

      Warmth of clothing isn't actually what people care about. What people care about, and what the article does not mention, is warmth per unit weight.

      • altairprime 2 hours ago
        I disagree. People also may care about the cognitive load of thermal management. As the article notes:

        > the gear of the past is capable, but it has a narrower operating window. If you stop moving in Mallory’s kit at 8,000 meters, you will freeze quickly. Modern gear buys you a safety margin if you become static.

        In modern terms, this means that stopping to take a photo — whether Ansel or selfie — would carry a material risk of harm in the classic gear that is addressed by modern gear. The example of a selfie is perhaps too easily dismissed unconsidered, but the cognitive load is real for casual hikers, and is a benefit to modern gear that deserves the mention it gets. If I had to choose between a cap that has perfect heat management and a cap that weighs 10g less but requires me to constantly take it off and put it on every five minutes to allow evaporation, I would choose the heavier and lower annoyance cap. Each person’s preferences and skills apply; if one seeks to minmax weight/thermal then that’s a negligible price to pay to improve — but only some truly do strive for the limit of lowest mass without regards to complexity.

        There was an enviro-scifi book from the eighties that noted that a few people will pursue ‘one piece of apparel serves all functions’ skinsuit to the exclusion of all other concerns (such as natural fabrics or apparel design), at which point we would plausibly expect to see at one extreme the folks who make a discount-ultralight vented bodysuit out of FedEx envelopes. I am taking for granted that someone has tried this, because of course someone has tried this! And that starts to verge on why, in a different enviro-scifi book of that same relative era, the stillsuit existed: the lightest way to have convenient purified water in an absurd climates. Even the stillsuit as we see it described prioritizes convenience, the sip tube, over a more efficient system that doesn’t expend calories on pumping water up. That’s purely because human beings have a cognitive annoyance limit; and we do variably prioritize convenience when assessing the weight-complexity tradeoff.

        • throwawaytea 1 hour ago
          I go mushroom picking in the Oregon forest every year. The only real dangerous moment I ever had was getting soaking wet, and when the storm cleared, I stopped like a fool to eat lunch in a sunny for breezing opening. I finished lunch, and realized I was shockingly cold. Like, dangerously cold. I did jumping jacks as long as I could and then started walking uphill even though that wasn't where I wanted to go really. Weird moment.
          • throwaway173738 0 minutes ago
            I didn’t wear my rain gear hiking uphill in a quarter inch per 4 hours downpour and started feeling sleepy by degrees until I caught myself looking for a place to lie down for a nap. At that point I realized I’d better turn around posthaste.
        • bryanrasmussen 1 hour ago
          It must just be that the way the stillsuit functions is because of the limits of Herbert as a engineer and designer had been reached and he did not think or realize that there was a more efficient system than the sip tube possible.
          • altairprime 1 hour ago
            Dunno. I'm content analyzing the analogy as if authorial limitations did not apply; it helps fend off the entropic forces of IDIC given the necessity of using flawed examples to communicate at all.
      • stevejb 3 hours ago
        Their bar graph showed that in almost every category except for accessories, the weights were pretty much identical.
        • margalabargala 3 hours ago
          "Pretty much identical"

          Add up the numbers in the bar graph and you'll see that the old gear sums to two kilograms heavier than the modern gear.

      • next_xibalba 3 hours ago
        Isn’t there a chart showing weight by body part midway through the article?
        • margalabargala 3 hours ago
          Yeah, it shows the old gear is about two kilograms heavier than the new gear, which is huge.

          Considering that someone carrying 2 extra kilos will also be generating more body heat etc, the focus on heat over the rest of the article is in question.

          • altairprime 3 hours ago
            To clarify slightly: it shows the old gear is significantly heavier in three areas: head, hands, and ‘accessories’. I think that suggests where investment in technical fabric has been most successful at improving the burden of mass in surviving extreme cold.
            • Fricken 2 hours ago
              Wool, down, silk and leather are still commonly used in technical apparel and compete on weight.

              2 big new innovations that matter are Gore-tex and Nylon fabrics that are very durable and wind resistance for their weight.

              • margalabargala 47 minutes ago
                Tech fabrics were a prerequisite to the widespread use of down in adventure clothing. Earlier fabrics were either too heavy, like leather, and would collapse the down and negate its insulating properties, or would get wet like cotton/linen and saturate the down.
  • jancsika 2 hours ago
    Key paragraph:

    > The data proves that the gear of the past is capable, but it has a narrower operating window. If you stop moving in Mallory’s kit at 8,000 meters, you will freeze quickly. Modern gear buys you a safety margin if you become static.

  • jancsika 2 hours ago
    Important-- when they say "cotton" in the article they're talking about gabardine cotton as a water repellent layer.

    Neither one of these dudes is wearing cotton base layers, midlayers, socks, etc. It's too slow to evaporate moisture which can cause blisters on feet and rapid drop of body temperature drop in cool/cold weather.

  • eagsalazar2 1 hour ago
    I remember sleeping in old canvas tents - in the heavy rain - on boyscout camping trips around seattle as a kid. I remember waking up in a puddle, cotton lined bag soaked through, not being dry even after 12 hours of laying it out after the rain stopped.

    By comparison my RIE UL2 is 100x, no 1000x better in every single way. Same for my 15 degree duck down mummy.

    Are sweaters better now than then?? I don't know, maybe. But seriously, get out of here with the general notion that 19** is within a hundred miles of good modern backpacking gear.

    About boots, unless you are in snow, boots are scam. Period full stop with whatever expansive definition you want to use. Comfy $30 sneakers from Big 5 are great. I do have some trail running shoes I use personally that cost me about $100. I'm sure they had great options 100 years ago.

  • croisillon 2 hours ago
    nice pics, nice font, pity the text went through translopification
    • Gigachad 2 hours ago
      Couldn't help but think the same. Clearly they went through a lot of work to do the experiment and take all these pics, and then it's all let down by such bad text.
  • embedding-shape 4 hours ago
    > Today, their biometrics are tracked by ingestible sensor pills that monitor core temperature from the inside out

    I wonder if those are pills they've developed themselves, or if it's an existing product available to consumer?

    • suzzer99 4 hours ago
      I've read about them being used in other studies.
  • obsidianbases1 3 hours ago
    I thought weight would be where the modern wear performed best.

    More surprisingly, the footwear of yore was apparently lighter

  • XorNot 4 hours ago
    I feel like downplaying 1.8 degrees C of performance is a weird choice in the article.

    1.8 degrees C is a huge temperature change in biology. Human bodies keep thermal equilibrium in a margin smaller then that.

    • adonovan 3 hours ago
      Also weird phrasing: "a staggering 1.8 degrees" begs the reader to think of it as a large number (which in fact it is, as you point out) yet their intent seems to be, ironically and paradoxically, to diminish it.
      • altairprime 2 hours ago
        I felt like that’s more like a rhetorical device for shorthand-saying “one might expect a ten or twenty degree difference based on modern marketing”, and I’m annoyed the article didn’t say that because it’s a pretty good point delivered rather poorly.
        • alistairSH 1 hour ago
          A 20* swing in body temp would render you dead…
          • altairprime 1 hour ago
            Yep! That's what makes marketing against the imaginary foil of death so impactful: the alternative, "if not for our technical fabric, you'd have to fluctuate between zero and six layers of fabric based on exertion, humidity, inclement weather, and personal thermal comfort", is a lot less manipulative than "wear our fabric or die before the peak". Sure, it's true that you have to wear something or die (unless you're a statistical anomaly, anyways), but marketing based on glove weight doesn't cause as many sales as marketing based on frostbite.
          • bryanrasmussen 1 hour ago
            One might expect to be dead if following Modern marketing guidelines.
    • fellowniusmonk 4 hours ago
      Also: Freezing right away when you stop moving at 8k altitude? I was just skiing at 11k and it never even crossed my mind.
  • ChrisMarshallNY 3 hours ago
    That's pretty cool. They talk about how getting period clothes basically required custom work.

    Must be pricey.

    • eucyclos 2 hours ago
      My wife studied costume design with a focus on historical European garments a few years back. Fascinating field!

      And yes, when you can't mass produce clothing it goes up in price massively. Most mass produced clothing costs slightly more than the fabric, but even a very fast couturier will spend hours on a single piece. On top of that, it's one of those industries where price sensitivity inverts at the upper end.

    • tenuousemphasis 3 hours ago
      There was a time not all that long ago that the most expensive thing most people owned was clothing.
  • sneak 3 hours ago
    The idea that full grown identical twins are identical humans for purposes of analysis is also fundamentally flawed. Just because they share DNA and look the same doesn’t mean anything about their relative health, fitness, metabolic rates, etc.
  • dekhn 2 hours ago
    absolutely terrible writing.